The healthy development of the global PV industry

Good policy in a single year 2014, global installed capacity of 30 GW could be a breakthrough

European Photovoltaic Industry Association (EPIA) has released entitled “2014 Global PV market outlook,” the latest report. The report predicted good general and policy are two different cases, the global PV market development trend the next five years. EPIA first affirmed in the report, the steady development of PV industry in recent years, pointed out that despite the economic crisis, the haze has not yet faded, or the PV market in 2009 grew 15%, the total installed capacity is increased by 45% to 22.9 GW . EPIA also revised the 2010 forecast of installed capacity, under ordinary circumstances, the global market will reach 10.1 GW added that if the policy favorable circumstances, is up to 15.5 GW, respectively, the earlier forecast of only 8.2 Kyrgyzstan W and 12.7 GW. EPIA also pointed out that policies favorable circumstances, the global PV installed capacity in a single year 2014, 30 GW could be a breakthrough F2024A battery ，F2024B battery .

The rise of emerging applications market

Report, for example, in 2007 as long as the installed capacity of 15 MW to be ranked among the world’s top ten list PV market, but last year requires 70 megawatts is enough cells, this threshold will be further raised to 140 MW -200 MW between, indicating that PV power than old, the application of a group of emerging markets rise.

According to the report, Europe is still the market leader in the global photovoltaic applications, and Germany by virtue of the cumulative installed capacity of 10 GW and 3.8 GW of new installed capacity of 2009, sit tight in the top spot in solar power. Expansion of the German market in 2009 more than doubled, from 1.8 GW in 2008 rose to 3.8 GW, which now accounts for 52% of the total installed capacity worldwide. Despite the substantial reduction in photovoltaic solar energy subsidies in Germany will certainly be detrimental to long-term growth industry, but this pattern does not occur in the short term change significantly. The medium term, now the second largest total installed capacity of the Czech Republic, Italy and the rising star of the most PV market expansion potential. Old PV power in Japan remain strong growth momentum, EPIA expects positive cases the policy, this year Japan will be able to break through GW mark, PA3383U-1BAS battery , PA3383U-1BRS battery  general situation in 2012 can also crossed this off.

As the start or plan to start a group of power transmission lines, the United States is seen as the future development of the blessed PV. The United States last year installed capacity of 477 MW in 2010, is expected to exceed 600 MW of new scale, or even 1 GW. Installed capacity of 2014 U.S. policy in ordinary circumstances and under favorable conditions can reach 3 GW and 6 GW.

China: manufacturing country and the future is not lame

China is well-known photovoltaic products manufacturing power, photovoltaic cell output has leapt to the world. But the long application in the world but never made it onto the market ranking. In 2009, China’s top ten for the first time one of the world PV market list. According to the Chinese industry associations and governmental institutions in 2009, the Chinese PV market size of about 160 MW. EPIA said in the report, with its 12 GW of large power transmission lines, fast-growing China has the world’s major markets in Asia and the strength.

Abundant sunshine, combined with the rapid growth in electricity demand, China has great potential for the development of photovoltaic power generation, but industry mainly depends on government decisions. China’s energy strategy in 2009, PA3384U-1BRS battery an estimated installed capacity of PV power by 2020 target of 20 GW, but no specific details and the road map. EPIA said that China still has not implemented any form of subsidies regret.

According to EPIA’s predicted that if the government introduced this year related to incentive policies, the scale may break of 600 MW. 2014, China’s installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation new 600 MW and 2.5 GW in between.

India and China are similar. India also has a very abundant sunshine resources, and the pressure of electricity demand growth, and therefore suitable for the development of photovoltaic solar energy. Government of India recently announced that it will achieve in 2022 the installed capacity of 20 GW, which also reflects the determination of PV development in the country. EPIA pointed out that if the Government introduced positive incentives, the Indian PV market to grow from a mere 30 MW in 2009 surged to 1.5 gigawatts in 2014 or even higher. India’s PV market development trend will depend on government-oriented, if positive, then the size can be on the 300 MW, if the spread, only 50 megawatts. The market wants the Government to develop long-term solar power purchase agreement to stabilize the deployment of India’s PV development.

Dominate the global PV market in China

EPIA’s report shows that in crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells and the production of components, is still in mainland China and Taiwan manufacturers dominate (the market share of over 50%). European crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells and components of the market share was 20% and 30%. Japan, these two indicators did not exceed 10%. Both the United States produced less than 5% market share.

If the thin film solar cell, then the production capacity in Europe is the first, the market share of 30%, China, the United States, Japan and other Asian countries (mainly refers to Malaysia), total global production  PA3534U-1BRS battery capacity increased from 10% to 20%.

EPIA hope that the global production of photovoltaic products to 20% -30% compound annual growth rate (an investment in a specific period of time the annual growth rate, calculated as a percentage of the total growth rate of the square root of n, n is equal to the number of years during the relevant period – Editor’s Note) stable growth. Crystalline silicon and other upstream products is expected to yield the highest growth rate of about 30%. Crystalline silicon cells and PV module production capacity of the compound growth rate of the next 5 years will be maintained at 22% level.

PV products in 2009 to 24 GW capacity scale, EPIA is expected to increase by 30% this year, the scale, followed by a 20% annual growth rate will increase, will be able to break through in 2014 size 65 GW. There are two mainstream PV technology: one is the crystalline silicon cells, the other is thin film batteries. Because the photoelectric conversion rate was higher application rate of the current market, the higher is the crystalline silicon cells.

In 2009, only a thin film photovoltaic cell production output to 25%, EPIA hope to expand the scale of proportion to 25%. EPIA also predicted that the Chinese mainland and Taiwan will lead silicon thin film technology, while cadmium telluride (CdTe) and copper indium gallium selenium (CIGS) photovoltaic technology will be in Europe, the United States and Japan dominated. Satellite A210 battery ，Satellite A300 battery Production of silicon thin film battery is very low, but the capacity is not actually small, indicating low utilization of silicon thin film batteries. Silicon thin film technology for the leading Chinese speaking, it is significant.